Adam Boehrer Pacific Sotheby's International Realty

Where It Stands

Where Dana Point stands.

Single-family closings from the MLS, plus a city-wide snapshot across all residential.

Dana Point · July 2026

  • 140

    Expected Market Time

    Days to sell the current supply, city-wide. Was 123 days a year ago.

  • 3.7

    Months of Supply

    Single-family. Still tighter than 4.1 months a year ago, but up from 3.3 in June.

  • $2.07M

    Median Sales Price

    Single-family. The trailing three months ran $3.45M, $2.10M, $2.07M. At roughly 24 closings a month, the median tracks transaction mix as much as value.

Dana Point All Residential · August 2026 Snapshot

  • 28%

    Listings with a Price Cut

    Down from 32% a month ago, and the lowest in this peer set.

  • 99.6%

    Sale-to-List Ratio

    Homes under $5M closed at 96.4% in July.

  • +113%

    10-Year Home Value Growth

    Tracking San Clemente's +114%.

Sources: California Regional MLS via InfoSparks (July 2026 single-family closings) and Pacific Sotheby's August 2026 Market Report (August 1 snapshot, July 2026 closings, June 2026 Zillow ten-year growth).

What It Means

Demand cooled faster than supply, and the clock stretched.

Expected market time is the number I watch, because it counts the homes still sitting rather than only the ones that sold. I set out the full case for it on the San Clemente page. A year ago Dana Point's residential market, houses and condos together, needed about 123 days to clear its inventory. Today it needs 140. That is not a supply problem. Active inventory is down 19 percent from last year, 103 homes against 127, and pendings are down 29 percent. When demand falls faster than supply, the clock stretches. That is the whole story here.

Houses tell the same story. Single-family homes took a median of 38 days to go from active to pending in July, up from 13 in June and 30 a year ago, and new pendings fell 20 percent year over year. Supply is still tighter than last year, 3.7 months against 4.1, so this is demand cooling rather than inventory piling up. The homes that did close under five million went at 96 cents on the list dollar.

Inside town, two segments run on different clocks. Across all residential, houses and condos together, 37 homes closed under five million dollars in July at a median of 22 days on market. Above five million, where the Headlands and the oceanfront live, three homes closed at a median of $11.8M and a median 127 days. Same town, two completely different negotiations, and knowing which one your home sits in changes everything about how you price and market it.

Town by Town

Slower than San Clemente, far calmer than Laguna.

Full residential, single-family and condos combined. Expected market time and price cuts are the current August snapshot; sale-to-list is July closings. Six towns, same measures, same month.

City Expected Market Time Price Cuts Sale / List
San Clemente 66 days 44% 100.4%
San Juan Capistrano 102 days 45% 99.2%
Dana Point 140 days 28% 99.6%
Newport Beach 163 days 40% 97.2%
Newport Coast 201 days 32% 98.0%
Laguna Beach 235 days 42% 97.2%

Dana Point works through its supply in about 140 days, third in this peer set behind San Clemente at 66 and San Juan Capistrano at 102, and ahead of Newport Beach at 163, Newport Coast at 201 and Laguna Beach at 235, where homes sit the better part of a year. It also carries the lowest share of price cuts of the six at 28%, and that gap is not small: San Clemente is at 44%, Newport Beach at 40% and San Juan Capistrano at 45%. Its July closings came in at 99.6% of list, though single-month figures swing hard at Dana Point's low transaction counts. Over ten years, values are up +113% in Dana Point, tracking San Clemente's +114% and ahead of Laguna Beach's +86%, with Newport Coast (+130%) and Newport Beach (+118%) leading the group. Every town in the group has roughly doubled in a decade.

Sources: California Regional MLS via InfoSparks (ShowingTime Plus) and Pacific Sotheby's August 2026 Market Report. Ten-year growth per Pacific Sotheby's / Zillow.

Around the Harbor

Five neighborhoods, and the harbor between them.

Dana Point is the harbor town between San Clemente and Laguna Beach, anchored by the harbor, Doheny, and Salt Creek. It is not one market. Where a home sits, up on the Headlands, down in the Lantern District, or south in Capo Beach, changes the buyer, the price, and the pace completely.

Locator map of Dana Point, California, outlining the city and marking its main residential neighborhoods: Capistrano Beach, Dana Point Harbor, Lantern District, Monarch Beach, Niguel Shores, The Headlands. Capistrano Beach Dana Point Harbor Lantern District Monarch Beach Niguel Shores The Headlands Pacific Ocean
Dana Point and the neighborhoods above. City outline from OpenStreetMap, clipped to land; markers are approximate neighborhood centers, not boundaries.
  • The Headlands. The guard-gated, oceanfront top of the market, where The Strand at Headlands regularly trades well into eight figures. This is the segment that takes longer and negotiates harder.
  • Monarch Beach. The resort-adjacent enclave around the Waldorf Astoria and Ritz-Carlton, with golf, Salt Creek Beach, and beach-club access. Stable, high-demand, and view-driven.
  • Lantern District. The walkable village above the harbor along Del Prado, the heart of Dana Point dining and the most on-foot lifestyle in town. This is where the harbor revitalization is most visible.
  • Niguel Shores. A guard-gated 1970s community with its own clubhouse, pool, and tennis, plus private access to the Strand beach walkway. Privacy and amenities at a relative value.
  • Capistrano Beach (Capo Beach). The quieter, more character-driven south end near Doheny State Beach. A laid-back alternative to the flashier neighborhoods north of the harbor.

Keep reading:

The other thing reshaping this town is the roughly $600M harbor revitalization, now visibly under construction and expected to keep building long-term value into the harbor-adjacent neighborhoods. If you want to understand a specific pocket of Dana Point, that is exactly the kind of thing I am happy to walk through with you.

Which side of the Dana Point market is your home actually in?

The Rest of the Coast

Looking up the coast, or down it?

Coastal Currents follows all of it, a different neighborhood every issue. Past issues are here.

Ask me directly

Wondering how the harbor work changes your street?

Dana Point closes about two dozen homes a month, so a citywide median can be one unusual sale away from misleading you. Ask me about your block specifically. Text or email is easiest.